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day trade for today


12:00E Long Close Long 14:00E

SP index prices will be used to call trade a winner or loser.
Dave
06/23 Mon 10:00 -> 13:30 Short 1319.22 -> 1319.76 -0.54
06/24 Tue 12:10 -> 15:50 Long 1321.60 -> 1313.55 -8.05
06/25 Wed 10:10 -> 15:50 Long


my strong up signal today knows nada about fed meetings etc.

How have the signals done on previous fed days?
2008/06/23 Mon 10:00 -> 13:30 Short 1319.22 -> 1319.76 -0.54
2008/06/24 Tue 12:10 -> 15:50 Long 1321.60 -> 1313.55 -8.05
2008/06/25 Wed 10:10 -> 15:50 Long 1323.09 -> 1319.96 -3.13
2008/06/26 Thu 11:30 -> 15:30 Long

another losing day but had a winner all day until 15:30

Q. whats the record for fed days?
A. pretty good but thats from my memory only, no stats
as those days are included in the model now and cant reproduce a predict for those days.
2008/06/23 Mon 10:00 -> 13:30 Short 1319.22 -> 1319.76 -0.54
2008/06/24 Tue 12:10 -> 15:50 Long 1321.60 -> 1313.55 -8.05
2008/06/25 Wed 10:10 -> 15:50 Long 1323.09 -> 1319.96 -3.13
2008/06/26 Thu 11:30 -> 15:30 Long 1296.07 -> 1290.42 -5.65
2008/06/27 Fri 10:10 -> 14:30 Short

Thursday,
at least the 4hr Long window only lost 5.6 points out of a
day that lost 39 points.

Big picture-wise,
I have deja-vu for another big-down friday before a GIGANTIC-down
monday repeat of the black monday sell-off in mid-Nov 87.

If so, this time the U.S. Treasury will be in the market monday buying
as many index futures contracts as needed to stop the suicide-jumping.
2008/06/23 Mon 10:00 -> 13:30 Short 1319.22 -> 1319.76 -0.54
2008/06/24 Tue 12:10 -> 15:50 Long 1321.60 -> 1313.55 -8.05
2008/06/25 Wed 10:10 -> 15:50 Long 1323.09 -> 1319.96 -3.13
2008/06/26 Thu 11:30 -> 15:30 Long 1296.07 -> 1290.42 -5.65
2008/06/27 Fri 10:10 -> 14:30 Short 1288.26 -> 1281.93 +6.33

noted: 10:10 was right-on the high 10min time of day,
a disappointing week overall.
2008/06/30 Mon 12:40 -> 14:40E Short
2008/06/30 Mon 12:40 -> 14:40E Short 1287.57 -> 1283.22 +4.35
2008/07/01 Tue 11:30 -> 16:00E Long

monday noteworthy: day's high was at 12:48
2008/06/30 Mon 12:40 -> 14:40E Short 1287.57 -> 1283.22 +4.35
2008/07/01 Tue 11:30 -> 16:00E Long 1277.11 -> 1284.93 +7.82
2008/07/02 Wed 10:00 -> 15:20E Long


Tuesday noteworthy: day's high was the 16:00 close
marking 3 days in a row the program was "right-on" predicting
high times, a very rare occurance!!
Very good Dave - Thank you!
2008/06/30 Mon 12:40 -> 14:40E Short 1287.57 -> 1283.22 +4.35
2008/07/01 Tue 11:30 -> 16:00E Long 1277.11 -> 1284.93 +7.82
2008/07/02 Wed 10:00 -> 15:20E Long 1291.15 -> 1270.73 -13.00 stop
2008/07/03 Thu NO TRADE (market closes early)
2009/07/04 Fri HOLIDAY

Wednesday noteworthy:
Program was not aware that SP Index was hovering over breaking down thru
OFFICIAL BEAR MARKET COMMENCEMENT LEVEL.

I hope the program can produce winners in this DOWN environment,
and readers ought to pull-in their horns as well, see the link
I list in 1st message of topic "CRASH looming?" where Royal Bank of Scotland
analyst forecast early July strength and then a severe sell-off to
SP 1060, time will tell
OK, I have changed the "pieces of the puzzle" to not use any algorithm that requires recent days to calculate its output.
The results look theoretical promising and allow me to NOT post signals every day but revert back to what I unsuccessfully attempted in June (posting more than 1 day ahead)..

This is likely my last post in this topic, look for a new topic this morning "AUGUST day trades"