No registration required! (Why?)

AUGUST day trades


I have to give up posting signals every day and this is my solution.

Here is a 20day+ history and the Win/Loss record, I'm not excited about the results as usually I have found what works recently fails in the IMMEDIATE future...
Hopefully the signals shown are VALID and I havent screwed up and let
"known day results" leak into below tab.

NOTE: Short signals the rest of the week, (else the bear market is over?)

07/07 Mon 12|40 15|10 S -15 -5 (-15 points predicted, -5 actual)
07/08 Tue 10|00 13|20 Sx-19 +4 ( x = day is a loser)
07/09 Wed 10|00 14|20 S -12 -8
07/10 Thu 12|20 15|00 S -10-13
07/11 Fri 10|30 14|30 S -9 -1

07/14 Mon 12|00 14|00 L +11 +0
07/15 Tue 10|10 14|20 L +11+22
07/16 Wed 13|20 16|00 Sx-10+15
07/17 Thu 12|50 16|00 L +15+12
07/18 Fri 11|30 16|00 Lx+22 +0 (day excluded from Win/Loss)

07/21 Mon 11|10 15|10 S -22 -6
07/22 Tue 11|50 15|30 L +16 +6
07/23 Wed 13|40 16|00 L +6 +1
07/24 Thu 13|40 16|00 S -7-13
07/25 Fri 10|00 14|20 S -26 -4

07/28 Mon 10|30 12|50 S -8-11
07/29 Tue 10|50 15|00 L +17 +3
07/30 Wed 12|10 15|10 Lx+12 +0 (day excluded)
07/31 Thu 10|00 12|50 S -6 -3
08/01 Fri 10|40 16|00 Lx +7 +0

08/04 Mon 14|10 15|50 Lx+12 -4
08/05 Tue 10|10 15|40 L +14+15
08/06 Wed 11:30 15:40 S -9
08/07 Thu 12:10 16:00 S -20
08/08 Fri 10:30 15:00 S -19

08/11 Mon 11:20 15:10 S -10
08/12 Tue 10:20 13:30 L +13

Last 20 days W/L= 14/ 2 <- excluded are days < 1 point
2008/08/18 Mon 10:30 14:30 S +14
2008/08/19 Tue 11:40 16:00 Sx -1
2008/08/20 Wed 11:20 14:40 S +8
2008/08/21 Thu 12:20 16:00 L +4
2008/08/22 Fri NONE

August W/L = 5/8 Points = +17
Do you have a graph from a spreadsheet to track the record? It is a lot easier to see (for me anyway)
quote:
Originally posted by davegemini

I have to give up posting signals every day and this is my solution.

Here is a 20day+ history and the Win/Loss record, I'm not excited about the results as usually I have found what works recently fails in the IMMEDIATE future...
Hopefully the signals shown are VALID and I havent screwed up and let
"known day results" leak into below tab.

NOTE: Short signals the rest of the week, (else the bear market is over?)

07/07 Mon 12|40 15|10 S -15 -5 (-15 points predicted, -5 actual)
07/08 Tue 10|00 13|20 Sx-19 +4 ( x = day is a loser)
07/09 Wed 10|00 14|20 S -12 -8
07/10 Thu 12|20 15|00 S -10-13
07/11 Fri 10|30 14|30 S -9 -1

07/14 Mon 12|00 14|00 L +11 +0
07/15 Tue 10|10 14|20 L +11+22
07/16 Wed 13|20 16|00 Sx-10+15
07/17 Thu 12|50 16|00 L +15+12
07/18 Fri 11|30 16|00 Lx+22 +0 (day excluded from Win/Loss)

07/21 Mon 11|10 15|10 S -22 -6
07/22 Tue 11|50 15|30 L +16 +6
07/23 Wed 13|40 16|00 L +6 +1
07/24 Thu 13|40 16|00 S -7-13
07/25 Fri 10|00 14|20 S -26 -4

07/28 Mon 10|30 12|50 S -8-11
07/29 Tue 10|50 15|00 L +17 +3
07/30 Wed 12|10 15|10 Lx+12 +0 (day excluded)
07/31 Thu 10|00 12|50 S -6 -3
08/01 Fri 10|40 16|00 Lx +7 +0

08/04 Mon 14|10 15|50 Lx+12 -4
08/05 Tue 10|10 15|40 L +14+15
08/06 Wed 11:30 15:40 S -9
08/07 Thu 12:10 16:00 S -20
08/08 Fri 10:30 15:00 S -19

08/11 Mon 11:20 15:10 S -10
08/12 Tue 10:20 13:30 L +13

Last 20 days W/L= 14/ 2 <- excluded are days < 1 point



08/25 Mon NONE
08/26 Tue 10:40 14:30 S
08/27 Wed 10:10 13:30 L
08/28 Thu NONE
08/29 Fri 10:00 15:50 S

Leo11
No, I dont have a graph from a spreadsheet, sorry..

no problem, I like the visual aid since it's easier.
fyi, today's hi,lo 10min predicts were EXACT !!
good job davegemini

g
Here is a chart for 08/26 Tue,
and its rare hi,lo time predict success.
Dont expect the same success for the rest of the week.

Click image for original size
26 Aug 2008
re: "dont expect same success the rest of the week"

I have to share this (after the fact) chart, because it illustrates
a problem I have. Note I posted a hi time 13:30 (I let the system call it),
but that time has no neighbors confirming its the hi time. Reading the chart
a more realistic hi time was 15:10 but either way the predicts were AGAIN
RIGHT ON!!

Click image for original size
ES 27 Aug 2008

08/25 Mon NONE
08/26 Tue 10:40 14:30 S +11 hi,lo times were exact
08/27 Wed 10:10 13:30 L +8
08/28 Thu NONE
08/29 Fri 10:00 15:50 S +10 hi,lo times were off 10min

Final August Win/Loss = 8/8 Net Points = +46
Fabulous August performance, Dave. Have a great Labor Day weekend.
List of signals for days >= +-5 points
======================================
08/05 Tue 11:30 15:40 L +11 Fed meeting day
08/06 Wed 11:30 15:40 Sx -6
08/07 Thu 12:10 16:00 S +10
08/08 Fri 10:30 15:00 Sx -9
08/18 Mon 10:30 14:30 S +14
08/20 Wed 11:20 14:40 S +8
08/26 Tue 10:40 14:30 S +11 hi,lo times were exact
08/27 Wed 10:10 13:30 L +8
08/29 Fri 10:00 15:50 S +10 hi,lo times were off 10min

Win/Loss = 7/2 Net Points = +57

I wont be posting in September, but may be back in October.