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ES Tuesday 10-4-11


I'm hoping to post these charts through the end of the week so we can see how these price distributions (bell curves) interact. The new user to this stuff should be concentrating on finding the key areas and drawing in the bell curves.

Today left us with two very distinct bell curves. A double distribution day separated by low volume in the middle. Viewers looking to get better should focus on the volume histogram and draw your high and low volume areas based on that without looking at the price bars.

Hopefully we will get an upmove overnight so we have something to work with in the RTH session tomorrow morning. We will formulate some trade ideas once we see which side of the bell curves price will be entering from in the morning.

It is my experience that highs and lows will form more often based off the low volume areas from previous days and not the high volume areas from previous days. This is opposite from what that Enthios site teaches and the natural true range method but as usual I encourage everyone to do their own research.

This chart below includes overnight data but only because my IB charts display the histograms better once the day is complete. So I am posting it this way only to present a better visual and no other reason. I do not think you need to incorporate the overnight volume because it is too low.
Click image for original size
doubledistribution2
I like when they create air pockets right in front of key numbers...like the 73.75 low volume just above the O/N lows...so I'm obsessed with the long side...!! damn report.......2 minutes..
Kool Blue strikes again. Great call on 1068!
I'm long 71.50 but feel I'm gonna be early to the long side...low volume still at 73.75..
1082.75-1075.25 gives a full projection of 1063.0
runners will try for 77.25,...just under opening range lows
will try to hold last one for gap fill ..actually just under at 85.50...gonna take a lot for me to make that...I like the way our O/N low held though...
just bailed at 80.75...LOL!!
see how they tried to push above the OR high and failed....that breakout up didn't attract the buyers....YET!!
Originally posted by prestwickdrive

1082.75-1075.25 gives a full projection of 1063.0


Touch of 82.75 negates 63.0. 1068-1076.25 gave an initial projection of 1081.25 that hit and a full of 1089.5.
looking to get long near 72.75 as I think they will come back to 76.75 again
Here's a 3 minute self explanatory chart for my posts here at the forum.
Lisa, I don't know what you are referring to when asking about second level. But, we can talk about numbers and S/Rs and that's what I was looking at 12:53 as seeing in the chart below.

I hope this helps in some way. Seeing and playing S/Rs in conjunction with your system.


Originally posted by sandoxe

Got back from lunch and ES was moving with good momo and true my 1089.00 and here we are, just hit the objective at 1102.00

ES now trading 1105.75 @ 15:48
Originally posted by sandoxe

ES keeps testing 1089 but fail to move above it with some momo. Will wait.
ES now trading 1087.50 @ 13:56 E.T

Time for some delicious lunch hmmmmm.


Originally posted by sandoxe

I'm looking to buy from 1089.00 S/R. will let it test a bit and see if sets up for me.
Objective 1097/ 1102.
ES now trading 1088.75 @ 13:34
In due time will show us the way.




Click image for original size
sandoxe sp 500 es 3 minute chart 10042011