
What is this chart?
Okay, the chart is a 5 minute ES bar chart. Loaded onto this chart is 1 indicator but it has been loaded twice. The reason that it's been loaded twice is to allow us to look at the same market from two different angles.
I've marked the indicators (indicators are called studies in eSignal) as 1 and 2. Indicator 1 (grey) shows the Market Profile Graphic created by using volume to tell it when to switch to a new bracket. It starts a new bracket each 60,000 contracts. Indicator 2 (yellow) uses the traditional time base of 30 minutes. You can see the slightly different shapes that the 2 MP graphics. The volume based graphic is (1) weighted more on the upside and (2) has a smaller IB.
You can also see 2 pairs of lines on the chart. The yellow lines mark the Developing Value Area for the time based MP and the grey lines for the volume based MP.
As you can see, trading off the time based developing VA lines was more accurate and more profitable today than trying to use the volume based ones.
I was hoping to see the opposite happen. Why? Because I am exploring this for the first time and was hoping to find a new edge that I or anybody else had discovered. But I'm used to this now. I find that for every 20 trading theories/ideas that I come up with only 1 of them shows any true promise in the real world or a hit ratio of 5%. This is probably about right in almost every endeavour. How many calls does a telemarketer need to make before they make a sale? 19 No's to each Yes? Probably...
Anyway, I diverge. I just wanted to show you this new chart and way of looking at the market and see if anybody has any comments on it. I will of course be keeping an eagle eye on this to see if there are any further developments with this theory.
Another note: The number of brackets that will be created on any one day for the Volume based MP graphic will always change because the volume from open to close changes each day whereas the time between the open and close is always the same. So on high volume days we'll see more brackets and on low volume days we'll see fewer.