Dichotomy Between Live and Replay

I setup a Buy $93.50/Sell $93.30, 10 ticks away from the $93.40 price on CL at 10:29:59 and got triggered in the short at $93.14 and ended up stopping myself out at $93.16 for a loss of -2 ticks.

However when I immediately replayed the exact same setup I got triggered in the short at $93.39 I came out ahead +33 ticks. And trying it again and again produces the same positive results.

Can anyone explain the dichotomy between live and replay???