Altman Z-Score
The Altman Z-Score is a financial ratio used to assess a company's financial health. It is named after Edward Altman, who developed the model in 1968. The Z-Score is a multiple discriminant analysis (MDA) model that uses five financial ratios to predict a company's probability of bankruptcy within the next two years.
The five ratios used in the Altman Z-Score are:
- Working capital to total assets
- Retained earnings to total assets
- Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) to total assets
- Market value of equity to book value of total debt
- Sales to total assets
The Z-Score is calculated by adding the values of these five ratios and then subtracting 1.66. A company with a Z-Score of 3 or higher is considered to be financially healthy, while a company with a Z-Score of less than 1 is considered to be at high risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman Z-Score is a useful tool for investors and creditors to assess a company's financial health. However, it is important to note that the Z-Score is not perfect and should not be used as the sole basis for making investment decisions.
Here are some additional points about the Altman Z-Score:
- The Z-Score was developed using data from publicly traded companies. It is not clear how well the model would perform on private companies.
- The Z-Score is not a real-time measure of a company's financial health. It is based on historical financial data.
- The Z-Score can be affected by factors outside of a company's control, such as economic conditions.
Overall, the Altman Z-Score is a useful tool for assessing a company's financial health. However, it is important to use the model with caution and to consider other factors before making investment decisions.