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jarek
Rep: 94
Posts: 3,474
This one-way market is already becoming boring. I'm more and more inclined to the following long term view:

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The only question mark in such scenario would be whether it was already end of .382 W2 at July lows or if it still needs some more downside to conclude (and form a Flat or TD ABCD).
I agree with Jim that longer term all the permabears are going to be rather unpleasantly surprised.
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jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Wow, on the ZN after that initial pop that's some drop. Looking on a tick chart.
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jimkane
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Posts: 33,089
ZN bounce after that just a small correction, it's now dropping like a stone. Rates really backing up. That's a new low for the entire down move. I love it.
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jarek
Rep: 94
Posts: 3,474
I see last developments as another green set that played out:


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jimkane
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That upsloping red TL you show is key in here. Watch that closely.
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jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Okay, gold, which dropped hard, is starting to rise off an ABCD, and ES is starting to rise off that TL. Is that it? Watch the ZN.
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jimkane
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Posts: 33,089
Notice a new high for the 'bulls#$&' market was set by... drum roll... one tick.
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jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Notice how the recent rise, after the blast up, looks like a rising wedge.
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jarek
Rep: 94
Posts: 3,474
This is line to line so far in this drop:


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JA
jarek
Rep: 94
Posts: 3,474
Originally posted by jimkane

That upsloping red TL you show is key in here. Watch that closely.


Clearly breaking away from it now:


Click image for original size
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jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Okay, getting some follow through here. Nice.
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jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Probably just some OpEx thing.