daily: 1073 / 736.25
60m: 910.75, 899.50
15m: 916, 884
5m: 875.50,
need to retrace a bit before we get any downside projections
VO
VOwater
Rep: 133
Posts: 4,121
jack it appears that you used a 5m bar...you want to use the H and L not the close, with that said, you want to wait until you have a decent retrace before taking a proj. we dont have one yet imho
VO
VOwater
Rep: 133
Posts: 4,121
I say that jack because we keep making lower lows and lower highs. this 5m bar here so far has a higher low so it could be used, but by all means use what has worked for you
JA
JackS65
Rep: 100
Posts: 379
It was not off a 5 min but a range chart & I did use the high & low, however thanks for the info re the retrace. Jack.
VO
VOwater
Rep: 133
Posts: 4,121
ok jack...thats why our numbers were not in sync...by the way what range do you use for es?
KO
koolblue
Rep: 48,651
Posts: 16,032
Hey gang , sorry im so late!, family commitments. Have to leave in a hour or so , same reason. Looks like your aware of the closing ticks ,in excess of 800! Remember it doesnt mean we cant still go up today, tho. Just means a wicked decline starts soon! (if it hasnt started already! The 845.50 low appears to have temp. satisfied the price pro down from 858 area. ...watching
KO
koolblue
Rep: 48,651
Posts: 16,032
However the 'deadly' 15 min chart from 874 projects to 837 minimum and probably more like 825
PR
prestwickdrive
Rep: 2,057
Posts: 1,098
Thanks VO. I haven't been working with Kool's cycle projection tool much and was experimenting this PM. I was using the cycle highs and lows and using 1.618 from the end of the cycle. In my notes I had Kool saying to use 2.618 from the beginning of the cycle. Using the 1.618 I had a cycle H to L of 17.5 when fibbed by 1.612 gave me a 28.25 point expectation which added to the cycle low of 833.5 gave me a 61.75 target. For that second cycle projection that negated I had 61.5 - 47.25 = 14.25 * 1.618 = 23 + 847.5 (cycle low)= 870.5 target. That's the one that didn't hit at the end of the session. Maybe I am oversimplifying it.
