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JA
jarek
Rep: 94
Posts: 3,474
The developments of the last 2 trading days make me consider the whole rise from the post crash bottom to the last week's high as a W2 Kane ABCD:


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Timewise it doesn't look good because it rarely happens in a zigzag that CD leg lasts 80 times longer that AB leg. But if it comes to proportions - it's almost perfect: AB and CD legs are nearly equal and whole ABCD retraces between .685 and .786 of the preceding leg down from the top.

Initially I thought that whole zigzag should finish at May 11th high. Now I see that high as a C point of a W4 correction in the CD leg:


Click image for original size



The behaviour of the market in the next couple of days should help us jugde whether this interpretation is correct. This is rather important because in such case we should expect a drop to at least 1020 (1.272 external retracement of the ABCD) and probably much lower if W3 down has just started.
JA
jarek
Rep: 94
Posts: 3,474
One more time it reversed dead on at the same line. They will need to clear it first thing in the morning on Monday:


Click image for original size


... or even Sunday afternoon
ER
EricD
Rep: 63
Posts: 692
have a nice weekend to all.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
I suspect a big run up in GLOBEX and a huge gap up over that line. We'll see. The weekends are getting longer and longer as the inevitable blowup gets closer.