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jarek
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Posts: 3,474
Here is the $SPX equivalent of our longer term bearish setup in ES:


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The importance of the current market position is even more visible here, because Friday's high was exactly at the upper ML of the downsloping set at what looks as a possible 3D at the spike line.
If this breaks to the upside than we should witness an acceleration of the upward move, since there is nothing but air above:


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JA
jarek
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Originally posted by jimkane

... it may act like a flat, or an EXP that barely expands...



I understand that it would be this one:


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JI
jimkane
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Posts: 33,089
It is really, really struggling with this key line here, at that slightly EXP ABCD. The bulls better wake their a#%es up here, or they may get pile-driven into the turf.

BTW, I hope everyone saw the awesome ABCD in crude and got a piece of that. It's doing quite well so far. Report out now, though, so be careful.
JI
jimkane
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Didn't see your post when I did my last post there, jarek. Yes, that's the one.
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jimkane
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I just don't see downside in this environment. Not any real downside.
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jimkane
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Sure, there will be dips. But the reversal we all want off that key area? I just don't see it.
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jimkane
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Watch this 70.75 low in the Game Zone here.
JI
jimkane
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Notice the smaller ABCD in crude here.
JI
jimkane
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But one would still have to be bullish in here for that one. And I'm thinking it's done for now.
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jimkane
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And it sure was...

ES key line here at that 70.25 low. If that gives way, I'd normally say watch for a flush. Now I'll say watch for a DB or a 1, 2, or 3-tick move below the LOD, and then a huge snap reversal driven by bots.
JI
jimkane
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Is that a 4PT in crude, though?
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jimkane
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Posts: 33,089
And there's the close, 75.50 was the high. I'd still say that's close enough, it finished a lot closer to my area than any other place it could have finished. And followed the lines almost like a script. Oh, and BTW, that was a positive close for the ES.