MyPivots
Sign In
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Just getting ready... Champing at the bit...
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Yeah, just a guess, but I think the chances are over 99.9999% it is going to bounce right from here. Just a hunch.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Make that statistically indistinguishable from 100% the bounce is started now, in my opinion.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Higher low super-duper launchpad.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Tick/1-min ABCD, just waiting for the explosion.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
3D SL there and the nominal new low and additional stop run draws the big snap up. Let's see if it sustains. I know they are ready and want to launch hard any time now.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
It has to keep probing, but I'll stand by that 100% read.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
It's sooooooooo ready to explode in here...
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Understand, I strongly prefer it just gets to that key 21 area straight away. But I also know the games they like to play, and it's primed for that bounce. It's just trying to feel for a launchpad, in my opinion.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Anyway, time for my usual joke in such situations:

I'm long 100,000 contracts.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Now, what would be a more realistic position, all joking aside. Short (do the work and figure out the when and where for that, it shouldn't be a big challenge), waiting on 21 area with a trailing stop. The idea would be a partial there (if it reacts) but some held to see if the area gives way. This would not be a very short-term play, this would be slightly above 'short-term'. For daytrading today (what I call 'intraday swing trading'), well, that I don't have to discuss. I gave the area I was watching, the idea would just be to find positions and play to that, or play each leg.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Maybe this is very close (I think it might be), and maybe it's not even in the ballpark. One thing I do think is if this isn't how it unfolds, it will be some other scenario equally vile. Sorry. I can't believe my 'golden years' as I near 'retirement' are going to be spent like this...

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-31/guest-post-what-expect-during-next-stage-collapse