Source: http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/sunday-funnies-61/
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
I'll start the week with this nice cartoon:
Source: http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/sunday-funnies-61/
Source: http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/sunday-funnies-61/
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
This is what I've been saying for just about forever (at least since I've been 15 or so). Good luck getting anyone to accept the premise and scale back or do anything different. The plan is to do more of the same faster, until we hit the brick wall at 100 mph. I'm glad I'll be gone when it happens. But woe unto our kids and grandkids.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-10-20/guest-post-growth-obsolete
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-10-20/guest-post-growth-obsolete
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Anyway, we are 'up against it'. The big resistance is in this 40-60 area, but more 40-50 I'd say. We hit it. So, it may have one more little leg, or it's already there. Then it has to decide, pullback, or 'the breakout. It could throw over (60 would do it), and then pullback. I'm looking at maybe 33-35 in a pullback.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
And things haven't even gotten tough here yet...
http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/visiting-the-ussa-can-be-a-pain-in-the-ass/
http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/visiting-the-ussa-can-be-a-pain-in-the-ass/
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Yeah, I know this is a trading forum. And this is the trading thread in that trading forum.
Just a few thoughts on all this. They keep talking about how we need to get the world economies growing. We need to find more oil and gas, do a lot more fracking, get drilling in Alaska. Drill, drill, drill, as they say. We need to build a lot more houses. We have seven billion people, we need more people. And we need to get them up to U.S. living standards, because we want them using iPads, iPods, and iPhones. We need more genetically engineered crops so we can handle all those new people who will be coming into the world. Makes sense to me. For just about ever I've been very concerned about our oceans. Now it's finally showing up there to the unaided eye. So, in the grander scheme, don't worry about those bankers, it won't be long until there aren't any more bankers. Or anyone else.
http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/we-broke-it/
Just a few thoughts on all this. They keep talking about how we need to get the world economies growing. We need to find more oil and gas, do a lot more fracking, get drilling in Alaska. Drill, drill, drill, as they say. We need to build a lot more houses. We have seven billion people, we need more people. And we need to get them up to U.S. living standards, because we want them using iPads, iPods, and iPhones. We need more genetically engineered crops so we can handle all those new people who will be coming into the world. Makes sense to me. For just about ever I've been very concerned about our oceans. Now it's finally showing up there to the unaided eye. So, in the grander scheme, don't worry about those bankers, it won't be long until there aren't any more bankers. Or anyone else.
http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/we-broke-it/
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
No real European action so I'm going to turn in. This article is long, but good. It's related to the market, so have no fear.
http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/we-never-learn-from-the-past/
http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/we-never-learn-from-the-past/
MA
MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
Are we going to see W2 in a trend starting off expanding ABCD?
Click image for original size
MA
MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
It now evolved into a potential 4PT starting from C in the previous chart, with .786 and .886 within KZ.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
And, for a follow up, let's be fair and look at Friday. The market's be on fire, another new all-time high. How many did they have, for the entirety of My Pivots? 2,000? 4,000? No, twenty. But four were mine, so sixteen, really. Now, perhaps the three from today (excluding my one member) were also in yesterday. I can only see the last time they were in, that could make nineteen, at the most.
Just think about this right now. The market hit another all-time high. The bull is raging, one of the longest and strongest ever. Public involvement should be at a maximum. I doubt many in here have been to BigCharts.com. It was a quickly program I used to look up a chart when all my charting programs were closed out for the day and I wanted to quick check something. Nowadays probably most would use StockCharts.com for that. Anyway, at the peak of the dotbomb bubble, it was sold... for $80 million! That's what generally happens when there is a bull and the public is stock mad.
I recall when every last person I knew was a 'trader' in '99. My plumber literally quit his job of decades and went 'full-time' trading. My dentist, he was going full-time. My friend's doctor, he closed his practice. My dad's friend was up like $200K in AOL, and he had just bought a house for like that much (back when, and in a place, where that bought a lot) my dad told him 'I think you should sell the AOL, pay the house off fully, and be really happy with that deal.' He laughed and said it was going way higher, and he was going to be a multimillionaire. That was the top. He basically lost it all.
I remember a good buddy's sister, I think she was an engineer, she quit to 'trade' full-time. She took her life savings, and everything she could borrow. She went 'all in' on CREE. She was doing well with it. Pull up a chart. Mine is adjusted for splits, so I'm not sure what the actual high was, but that doesn't matter, it won't change the percentage drops and so on. So, at the peak in early 2000 it was over 100. At the low a few years later it was 8 and change. I asked him somewhere around there how she was doing. She was 'holding on', and said 'It will come back, they always do.' Good thing she didn't choose eToys or WebVan. Anyway, now fourteen years later, with all this Fed pumping, it still isn't back, and do you have any idea how much the buying power of those dollars has dropped since then? My calculations, based on my own personal CPI, is about 66%, I think it was, in the last five years. Imagine over those fourteen. So, even if she is still holding, and sells at break even, she really took a total reaming.
The point? That's what public involvement usually looks like at a bull top. I'm not arguing this means this 'bull' has a lot more to go, what I'm saying is, this market is broken. That kind of action can't happen. No one has the available credit for it. The 'public' is margined on the same order now as the 2000 and 2007 tops. They have no home ATM piggy bank, no savings left, no credit cards to run way up trading. And less than zero interest. In this way, this is not really a 'bull' market (hence my constant use of quotes every time), it's a cyclical 'bull' in a secular bear cycle, created solely with stolen and funny munny, while 'Rome burns'.
And, again, the point? All this is confirmed when one realizes a tremendously well-known, famous, popular place like My Pivots, on a day when the market hits another all time high, and pops in GOOG over 120-something dollars in a day (or equal or even higher percentage moves in the likes of CMG, NFLX et al) are not uncommon, generates a total of perhaps nineteen members to visit for the entire day. So, no wonder I have four visitors a day. Thinking of it another way, I have like 20% or 25% of the level of traffic (in terms of members) as one of the biggest and best forums out there, a forum with over 122,000 posts, has! That's great!
Just think about this right now. The market hit another all-time high. The bull is raging, one of the longest and strongest ever. Public involvement should be at a maximum. I doubt many in here have been to BigCharts.com. It was a quickly program I used to look up a chart when all my charting programs were closed out for the day and I wanted to quick check something. Nowadays probably most would use StockCharts.com for that. Anyway, at the peak of the dotbomb bubble, it was sold... for $80 million! That's what generally happens when there is a bull and the public is stock mad.
I recall when every last person I knew was a 'trader' in '99. My plumber literally quit his job of decades and went 'full-time' trading. My dentist, he was going full-time. My friend's doctor, he closed his practice. My dad's friend was up like $200K in AOL, and he had just bought a house for like that much (back when, and in a place, where that bought a lot) my dad told him 'I think you should sell the AOL, pay the house off fully, and be really happy with that deal.' He laughed and said it was going way higher, and he was going to be a multimillionaire. That was the top. He basically lost it all.
I remember a good buddy's sister, I think she was an engineer, she quit to 'trade' full-time. She took her life savings, and everything she could borrow. She went 'all in' on CREE. She was doing well with it. Pull up a chart. Mine is adjusted for splits, so I'm not sure what the actual high was, but that doesn't matter, it won't change the percentage drops and so on. So, at the peak in early 2000 it was over 100. At the low a few years later it was 8 and change. I asked him somewhere around there how she was doing. She was 'holding on', and said 'It will come back, they always do.' Good thing she didn't choose eToys or WebVan. Anyway, now fourteen years later, with all this Fed pumping, it still isn't back, and do you have any idea how much the buying power of those dollars has dropped since then? My calculations, based on my own personal CPI, is about 66%, I think it was, in the last five years. Imagine over those fourteen. So, even if she is still holding, and sells at break even, she really took a total reaming.
The point? That's what public involvement usually looks like at a bull top. I'm not arguing this means this 'bull' has a lot more to go, what I'm saying is, this market is broken. That kind of action can't happen. No one has the available credit for it. The 'public' is margined on the same order now as the 2000 and 2007 tops. They have no home ATM piggy bank, no savings left, no credit cards to run way up trading. And less than zero interest. In this way, this is not really a 'bull' market (hence my constant use of quotes every time), it's a cyclical 'bull' in a secular bear cycle, created solely with stolen and funny munny, while 'Rome burns'.
And, again, the point? All this is confirmed when one realizes a tremendously well-known, famous, popular place like My Pivots, on a day when the market hits another all time high, and pops in GOOG over 120-something dollars in a day (or equal or even higher percentage moves in the likes of CMG, NFLX et al) are not uncommon, generates a total of perhaps nineteen members to visit for the entire day. So, no wonder I have four visitors a day. Thinking of it another way, I have like 20% or 25% of the level of traffic (in terms of members) as one of the biggest and best forums out there, a forum with over 122,000 posts, has! That's great!