Source: http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/sunday-funnies-61/
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
I'll start the week with this nice cartoon:
Source: http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/sunday-funnies-61/
Source: http://www.theburningplatform.com/2013/10/20/sunday-funnies-61/
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Darn you, Marcin I was doing that chart post, and then I was going to post 53.50. Yes, I am going to watch it, it is a very key area, but for it to do much it would have to be a bearish 'W2' or a deep C point, and I can't really see either right here. It would be amazing if this shallow pullback is all it needs to get over the 1740-60 area. If so, that increases the odds it is going to 'break out'. I guess a move here to retest the high or to the obvious area from 61-67 (I don't want to post the levels more precisely, everyone should do that on their own) could be all it has, but I doubt it. The 'break out' seems more and more likely. Darn.
Originally posted by MarcinO
Are you watching 1753.50 for a stronger reaction, Jim?
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Look at those time stamps. You posted that right when I posted my chart post. This reminds me of Jarek and I in the old days, posting and trying to beat each other by seconds. Except he always did it with charts. I don't know how he would sometimes beat me by seconds, and have the chart!
MA
MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
Funny. One more coincidence. I have placed a chart you posted in my archive with the same comment for further investigation.
Originally posted by jimkane
Look at those time stamps. You posted that right when I posted my chart post. This reminds me of Jarek and I in the old days, posting and trying to beat each other by seconds. Except he always did it with charts. I don't know how he would sometimes beat me by seconds, and have the chart!
MA
MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
Yes, the chart to be placed in the forum should be clean and it sometimes too difficult to do it in advance.
I don't know how he was able to do it.
I don't know how he was able to do it.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Wow, 1.75 points from the key area and it didn't like it at all. Nice ABCD here, but I'm not sure about the strength right now. We'll see. I hope it does something soon, I'm beat.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Okay, he did it to me again! With a chart! I love this guy. I was going to say, watch that 5-min TL, it seems too obvious. It may still 'work', but that's a lot of contact points. This is fun stuff.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
So, see how they handled that line? Amazing how they play the same game over and over, and it still 'works' for them. Suckers never learn.
MA
MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
It's easier in the morning than after sixteen hours of watching the charts, so I have an advantage.
Originally posted by jimkane
Okay, he did it to me again! With a chart! I love this guy. I was going to say, watch that 5-min TL, it seems too obvious. It may still 'work', but that's a lot of contact points. This is fun stuff.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
And, for a follow up, let's be fair and look at Friday. The market's be on fire, another new all-time high. How many did they have, for the entirety of My Pivots? 2,000? 4,000? No, twenty. But four were mine, so sixteen, really. Now, perhaps the three from today (excluding my one member) were also in yesterday. I can only see the last time they were in, that could make nineteen, at the most.
Just think about this right now. The market hit another all-time high. The bull is raging, one of the longest and strongest ever. Public involvement should be at a maximum. I doubt many in here have been to BigCharts.com. It was a quickly program I used to look up a chart when all my charting programs were closed out for the day and I wanted to quick check something. Nowadays probably most would use StockCharts.com for that. Anyway, at the peak of the dotbomb bubble, it was sold... for $80 million! That's what generally happens when there is a bull and the public is stock mad.
I recall when every last person I knew was a 'trader' in '99. My plumber literally quit his job of decades and went 'full-time' trading. My dentist, he was going full-time. My friend's doctor, he closed his practice. My dad's friend was up like $200K in AOL, and he had just bought a house for like that much (back when, and in a place, where that bought a lot) my dad told him 'I think you should sell the AOL, pay the house off fully, and be really happy with that deal.' He laughed and said it was going way higher, and he was going to be a multimillionaire. That was the top. He basically lost it all.
I remember a good buddy's sister, I think she was an engineer, she quit to 'trade' full-time. She took her life savings, and everything she could borrow. She went 'all in' on CREE. She was doing well with it. Pull up a chart. Mine is adjusted for splits, so I'm not sure what the actual high was, but that doesn't matter, it won't change the percentage drops and so on. So, at the peak in early 2000 it was over 100. At the low a few years later it was 8 and change. I asked him somewhere around there how she was doing. She was 'holding on', and said 'It will come back, they always do.' Good thing she didn't choose eToys or WebVan. Anyway, now fourteen years later, with all this Fed pumping, it still isn't back, and do you have any idea how much the buying power of those dollars has dropped since then? My calculations, based on my own personal CPI, is about 66%, I think it was, in the last five years. Imagine over those fourteen. So, even if she is still holding, and sells at break even, she really took a total reaming.
The point? That's what public involvement usually looks like at a bull top. I'm not arguing this means this 'bull' has a lot more to go, what I'm saying is, this market is broken. That kind of action can't happen. No one has the available credit for it. The 'public' is margined on the same order now as the 2000 and 2007 tops. They have no home ATM piggy bank, no savings left, no credit cards to run way up trading. And less than zero interest. In this way, this is not really a 'bull' market (hence my constant use of quotes every time), it's a cyclical 'bull' in a secular bear cycle, created solely with stolen and funny munny, while 'Rome burns'.
And, again, the point? All this is confirmed when one realizes a tremendously well-known, famous, popular place like My Pivots, on a day when the market hits another all time high, and pops in GOOG over 120-something dollars in a day (or equal or even higher percentage moves in the likes of CMG, NFLX et al) are not uncommon, generates a total of perhaps nineteen members to visit for the entire day. So, no wonder I have four visitors a day. Thinking of it another way, I have like 20% or 25% of the level of traffic (in terms of members) as one of the biggest and best forums out there, a forum with over 122,000 posts, has! That's great!
Just think about this right now. The market hit another all-time high. The bull is raging, one of the longest and strongest ever. Public involvement should be at a maximum. I doubt many in here have been to BigCharts.com. It was a quickly program I used to look up a chart when all my charting programs were closed out for the day and I wanted to quick check something. Nowadays probably most would use StockCharts.com for that. Anyway, at the peak of the dotbomb bubble, it was sold... for $80 million! That's what generally happens when there is a bull and the public is stock mad.
I recall when every last person I knew was a 'trader' in '99. My plumber literally quit his job of decades and went 'full-time' trading. My dentist, he was going full-time. My friend's doctor, he closed his practice. My dad's friend was up like $200K in AOL, and he had just bought a house for like that much (back when, and in a place, where that bought a lot) my dad told him 'I think you should sell the AOL, pay the house off fully, and be really happy with that deal.' He laughed and said it was going way higher, and he was going to be a multimillionaire. That was the top. He basically lost it all.
I remember a good buddy's sister, I think she was an engineer, she quit to 'trade' full-time. She took her life savings, and everything she could borrow. She went 'all in' on CREE. She was doing well with it. Pull up a chart. Mine is adjusted for splits, so I'm not sure what the actual high was, but that doesn't matter, it won't change the percentage drops and so on. So, at the peak in early 2000 it was over 100. At the low a few years later it was 8 and change. I asked him somewhere around there how she was doing. She was 'holding on', and said 'It will come back, they always do.' Good thing she didn't choose eToys or WebVan. Anyway, now fourteen years later, with all this Fed pumping, it still isn't back, and do you have any idea how much the buying power of those dollars has dropped since then? My calculations, based on my own personal CPI, is about 66%, I think it was, in the last five years. Imagine over those fourteen. So, even if she is still holding, and sells at break even, she really took a total reaming.
The point? That's what public involvement usually looks like at a bull top. I'm not arguing this means this 'bull' has a lot more to go, what I'm saying is, this market is broken. That kind of action can't happen. No one has the available credit for it. The 'public' is margined on the same order now as the 2000 and 2007 tops. They have no home ATM piggy bank, no savings left, no credit cards to run way up trading. And less than zero interest. In this way, this is not really a 'bull' market (hence my constant use of quotes every time), it's a cyclical 'bull' in a secular bear cycle, created solely with stolen and funny munny, while 'Rome burns'.
And, again, the point? All this is confirmed when one realizes a tremendously well-known, famous, popular place like My Pivots, on a day when the market hits another all time high, and pops in GOOG over 120-something dollars in a day (or equal or even higher percentage moves in the likes of CMG, NFLX et al) are not uncommon, generates a total of perhaps nineteen members to visit for the entire day. So, no wonder I have four visitors a day. Thinking of it another way, I have like 20% or 25% of the level of traffic (in terms of members) as one of the biggest and best forums out there, a forum with over 122,000 posts, has! That's great!