I guess Jarek isn't back yet.

My 'guess' is the TL will give way. What matters is it a stop sweep, or a real, sustained move. That's the question.

And there goes the TL. Now we see what their intentions are.

BTW, intraday very short-term I'm short-side bias in here, but very wary and cautious.

I'd love to see 1106.50-1107.75, but the 1.128 ext ret at 1113 would be okay, too. I have a key line down in those areas. We'll see.

and with good reason

In the meantime, watch the GZ here, as usual. This is a perfect place for them to game this, and the layout is such that I'd expect them to.

my money is on the implied odds of the .382abcd... looking for 1056spx

Great chart, great post, roofer. Since the ES is hitting the GZ at the same time, I'd sure expect a reaction here. Maybe the .886 on gap on 5 plays out a bit, and then the ABCD finishes its move?

Originally posted by roofer

and with good reason

Click image for original size

If they were going to come in on this ES, I'd have thought they'd have done it by now...

I'm staying with my short-side bias, for now, until I see what they do.

Wow, did they shake the tree all afternoon on the 1 and 3-min timeframes. I'm seasick. Glad to be able to take a break now. Pretty exciting stuff, though.