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JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
T minus 5 minutes and counting... But we already have some indications from the spot FX market.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
And given the volatility, it's still not off the table that they come in at some point. But, I think they want this to go down, so they can initiate QE3 in a short while.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Watching to see if they view this as a 'W2' bullish ABCD here, and up it goes. That would have been a nice shakeout. And an object lesson in setting a 'W4' stop when it is positioned for a 'W2'...
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
And sure enough they come right off the ABCD...
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
So, the read was exactly right, the positioning really good, and the stop idea being based on a 'W4' spot because I thought if the robots came they'd come strong, was the flaw. A typical 'W2' stop, based on that it was positioned for a 'W2' and not a 'W4', would have not gotten me off the long side bias, and what is shaping up to be a potentially monster play would have been left intact. That's the way it goes. At this point I'll watch the .300, .382, and .447 on the way up, but I suspect they will make the entire drop back now and close the gap.

In the meantime, there is a bearish ABCD shaping up in here (1.000 at 77.50), so that is the first real test. Above that, if it continues, I'll be watching:

84.50

91.75

Centers of areas, of course. I also have a minor area at 80-81. Watch this ABCD here very closely, it should give some serious clues.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Watch the KZ here at line.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
And right up off the KZ and line.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
What a beautiful second chance!
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
I got tired of posting... Anyway, I was going to post that sure looks like a broad, rounding top on the 1 or 3-min chart. Let's see if it's another bullish ABCD, or the rounding top.
DU
Duane
Rep: 100
Posts: 1,095
A lot of nice action. Gold almost at 1700
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Gold 1705 (rounded). CL getting pounded nicely. ES flirting with the lows. That was a broad rounding top after all. Cool.
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
And then right back down into the close! Too funny.