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MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
Some areas for ES. If a fifteen point drop anticipated by ZH is going to happen, it will fall into a nice grouping.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-10-13/early-fx-indications-eurjpy-slide-implies-15-point-futures-drop-open

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es2013 10 13 png
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jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Die, oinker, die!
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jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Gold is really moving up, and just popped like 4 in like a microsecond. Wow.
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MarcinO
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es2013 10 16 2 png
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rat89
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Posts: 7,015
he is ok. just hunkering down with ta and charts...

Originally posted by jimkane

Nice chart, rat. Hey, what do you know from roofer? He hasn't been in here for over five weeks. Is he okay? He didn't like, well, you know. I mean, he's okay and all that? Let me know if you know anything.
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MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
Any reaction near 1706?

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es2013 10 16 3 png
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rat89
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last area to turn before heading for next higher area

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screen shot 2013 10 16 at 10 07 51 am png


.886 at line:

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screen shot 2013 10 16 at 10 28 19 am png


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screen shot 2013 10 16 at 10 27 42 am png
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rat89
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bingo


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screen shot 2013 10 16 at 10 01 06 am png
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MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
Hi rat. In ES it looks pretty similar although indicated by some other sets too.
1717-18 is a center of this area.

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es2013 10 16 4 png
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rat89
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line finally hit


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screen shot 2013 10 16 at 11 53 01 am png
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jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
So, they keep saying there is no inflation, and we need more inflation. Let's see. I got my prescription the other day. It was up. 265% My better half just called me from the grocery, my almonds are up from last time. 20%. I looked at my tax software for this year. It was up. 33.33%. Recall that link I posted for health plans and all those triple digit increases. Nope, all that doesn't sound like any inflation to me. I agree, we need lots more.

BTW, let's quickly talk about the CPI. Now, for me, my medical insurance is almost 40% of my total expenditures. So, for me, I'd like the CPI weighted so medical insurance is figured at about that level, say 40%. Look at what others pay. And to do it right, you can't look at all those who pay little getting it from work, and figure that percentage. If your employer is paying for it, it's the same as if you are. In theory, the employer could just pay you more and not include the insurance. It's the same with FICA. I'm self-employed, so I pay 15.3%. Workers pay 7.15%, but their employer pays the other 7.15%. If they didn't, they could pay you 7.15% more. So, you pay it all, regardless. I think 99.99%, literally, of people are simply unable to comprehend that fact no matter how many times it is explained to them. It's just a limitation of the human mind (and poor education), and it a big part of why we are in the mess we are in.

Anyway, I think the CPI should weight medical insurance between 20% and 40%, but more towards the latter. And since this is one of the fastest increasing expenses, it is very important that it be weighed accurately, to insure accuracy in the CPI. The current weighting? 0.6%. Yes, 0.6%. Well, that's a nice way to keep those old inflation figures down. The Chinese recently did the same thing with housing data. They tweaked the weighting of houses, and the weighting of rural/city data, and so on. Presto, no inflation in China. EZ-PZ. Yep, there's no inflation.