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MA
MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
Some areas for ES. If a fifteen point drop anticipated by ZH is going to happen, it will fall into a nice grouping.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-10-13/early-fx-indications-eurjpy-slide-implies-15-point-futures-drop-open

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es2013 10 13 png
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
I just checked. I had a total of five readers today. We know of rat, marcin, and Al. Only two others! This forum is perhaps more of a joke than the market itself. All this place potentially has to offer, and that's all that's left. I guess most people are off working 100 hours a week trying to barely survive.
DU
Duane
Rep: 100
Posts: 1,095
It is lonely at the top Jim


Possible DT ABCD EURAUD


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10 14euraudh4 png
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Like this matters at all. You want to know how much this matters? It matters exactly squat. Zero, zip, nada. Totally jack squat.


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es f101413daily png

Absolutely jack squat.


Chart created on QCharts, courtesy eSignal
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
Time to head on up and take that nice area out.
MA
MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
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es2013 10 15 png
MA
MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
The Swissie may stop here.

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usdchf2013 10 15 png
MA
MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
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es2013 10 15 2 png
MA
MarcinO
Rep: 67
Posts: 5,506
3Ds into the area on M1.
RA
rat89
Rep: 0
Posts: 7,015
a most interesting area.....failed short setup (price didn't hit median line) set up probability that price would go back to upper line.....hit the .786 yesterday, and the minor .886 today on the 5 minute....will they do it?


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screen shot 2013 10 15 at 11 17 13 am png

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screen shot 2013 10 15 at 11 17 41 am png

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screen shot 2013 10 15 at 11 14 48 am png
RA
rat89
Rep: 0
Posts: 7,015
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screen shot 2013 10 15 at 11 30 15 am png
JI
jimkane
Rep: 3,058
Posts: 33,089
So, they keep saying there is no inflation, and we need more inflation. Let's see. I got my prescription the other day. It was up. 265% My better half just called me from the grocery, my almonds are up from last time. 20%. I looked at my tax software for this year. It was up. 33.33%. Recall that link I posted for health plans and all those triple digit increases. Nope, all that doesn't sound like any inflation to me. I agree, we need lots more.

BTW, let's quickly talk about the CPI. Now, for me, my medical insurance is almost 40% of my total expenditures. So, for me, I'd like the CPI weighted so medical insurance is figured at about that level, say 40%. Look at what others pay. And to do it right, you can't look at all those who pay little getting it from work, and figure that percentage. If your employer is paying for it, it's the same as if you are. In theory, the employer could just pay you more and not include the insurance. It's the same with FICA. I'm self-employed, so I pay 15.3%. Workers pay 7.15%, but their employer pays the other 7.15%. If they didn't, they could pay you 7.15% more. So, you pay it all, regardless. I think 99.99%, literally, of people are simply unable to comprehend that fact no matter how many times it is explained to them. It's just a limitation of the human mind (and poor education), and it a big part of why we are in the mess we are in.

Anyway, I think the CPI should weight medical insurance between 20% and 40%, but more towards the latter. And since this is one of the fastest increasing expenses, it is very important that it be weighed accurately, to insure accuracy in the CPI. The current weighting? 0.6%. Yes, 0.6%. Well, that's a nice way to keep those old inflation figures down. The Chinese recently did the same thing with housing data. They tweaked the weighting of houses, and the weighting of rural/city data, and so on. Presto, no inflation in China. EZ-PZ. Yep, there's no inflation.